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Murray Dawes called the 5 August stock

panic and recovery…ONE WEEK in advance.

Here’s how he took advantage. And three
‘shopping list’ stocks for the NEXT down-move…

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Three ‘Shopping List’ stocks to buy in The Next Shakeout. Streaming online until Friday, 30 August. Enter your email below and hit the green button to get immediate access.

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On Saturday, 27 July,
I had a Nostradamus Moment…

‘We’ve seen a reversal off there, quite sharply. The interesting thing about this reversal for me, is the fact that it’s coming from that level. The 618 level above the range.

‘Because THAT is where a MAJOR reversal can begin from…

‘That’s not to say it’s not going to turn back up at some point. Or how long the correction will last.

‘But the fact that it IS reversing from that level is something to take note of. We got the SELL PIVOT last week. And we’ve had FOLLOW THROUGH this week…’

As predicted, a proper reversal started the following Thursday.

And it was indeed major.

$6.3 trillion was wiped out in what Bloomberg called the start of ‘The Great Unwind’.

‘Knives falling everywhere,’ in the words of one analyst.

I prefer not to use hysterical metaphors.

What my charts foreshadowed a week in advance was simply a classic shakeout.

Where a few bombs explode, making everyone run for the exits.

Then, the spooked crowd scrambles back in when the smoke’s cleared. The ‘turn back up’ that I mentioned on the 27th.

At the time of writing, the immense moves of a few weeks ago have had an equally immense reversal.

The Dow is back above 40,000. All three major indexes just chalked up their best week of the year.

Talk about whiplash!

Those are some nuts moves.

A trickle that turned into a selling stampede…as buyers backed off, stop-losses were hit, and even more sellers joined the rush.

Then a bit of positive data. And major relief buying.

Classic shakeout.  

‘The bull market has not been derailed!’ declares Ned Davis Research. 

Hmm.

Do you believe that? I’m not so sure…

Going into September, we’re left with some pretty important questions.

And they’re questions I will attempt to answer for you in a special session on Monday, 26 August, called How to Prepare for the Next Shakeout. Such as: 

  1. My proven ‘shakeout predictor’ sung out loudly a week before the last one. What’s it showing right now? Is an even bigger selloff coming?

    What are the odds of an even larger sell-event in offshore markets soon…as carry traders unwind due to a convergence between Japanese and US interest rates?

    Important to have historical context here…

    Many people thought 11 July 2008 was the big crash of that year. But it was a shakeout. Just like what we saw at the start of August. The bomb that caused it was subprime mortgage lender IndyMac collapsing — as the first real wave of mortgage defaults started rolling in. As we know, though…the REAL crash for the history books didn’t occur till September that year…

    The 1907 Bank Panic. The 1929 crash that caused The Great Depression. Black Monday 1987 (still the largest one-day drop in history). All those happened in October…

    So, we are in a delicate spot here. On the 26th, I’ll walk you through what the same indicators that forecast the last reversal are showing now…

  2. How do you POSITION YOUR PORTFOLIO TODAY for a possible ‘October Surprise’?

    Is portfolio protection even possible in a 30%-plus crash? And can you position yourself TO TAKE ADVANTAGE of it?

    You can. As you’ll have seen if you caught my recent capital growth and protection manifesto called ‘THE LESSONS’. It’s 30 years of trading experience…through several historic corrections…distilled into six secrets that help you navigate and thrive in conditions JUST LIKE THIS.

    I describe how markets like this shake out inexperienced investors…by having far more false breakouts than actual breakouts.

    And how I kept my members out of the mud during the early pandemic market rout.

    In How to Prepare for the Next Shakeout on 26 August, we apply those capital-preservation lessons to RIGHT NOW. So, you can navigate the next few months with the assurance that you have a few backstops if things get really nasty.

    There are certainly no guarantees that will happen. But it might pay to take these few precautions, regardless.  

    And question three has me pretty energised right now…

  3. What opportunities to profit did the early August shakeout just open up for us?

    Markets, at the time of writing at least, are buoyant again. Investors are on edge. And it feels like we’ve crossed into different territory, right?

    The invincibility of tech has been shattered. Crypto’s had (another) massive unwind in leverage. American recession is in play. War in the Middle East looms. And a new problem…Japan… has come out of nowhere.

    All eyes are on the American Federal Reserve meeting next month. Uncertainty is the order of the day.

    And yet…these are conditions I bloody love.

    That may seem weird to long-term readers who’ve seen me bemoan the lack of trading opportunities over the last year.

    But, as I say, the game just changed...

    Certainly, I’m not saying a new bull market is on. But we’re closer to that final capitulation. And extreme volatility is back. Through 30-plus years of trading, I know periods like this don’t come along very often. You get far more opportunities when things are flying around. Investors get shaken out of positions, allowing you to jump into positions at great levels.

    If an even BIGGER down-move does come in September or October, there are certain pre-planned moves you can wait for in order to seize an advantage.

    I will be sharing my personal ‘next shakeout shopping list’ with you on 26 August.

You might have sat in on a few Fat Tail special investment sessions this year. But I don’t think we’ve had one as perfectly timed…or where the stakes are as high…

It’s free to attend. You just need to schedule 60–80 minutes from 7pm AEST on Monday, 26 August.

All you need to do is confirm your email address below and hit the button:

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Three ‘Shopping List’ stocks to buy in The Next Shakeout. Streaming online until Friday, 30 August. Enter your email below and hit the green button to get immediate access.

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Let’s turn 30 years of shakeout
experience into a PRACTICAL PLAN

Murray Dawes

Murray Dawes

If you don’t know me and haven’t read ‘THE LESSONS’, my name is Murray Dawes.

I’m 52 and started my career in the financial markets after getting a graduate position with Swiss Banking Corporation Dominguez Barry (now UBS) in 1992.

I remember a mini shakeout happening that very year.

The airline industry experienced significant financial difficulties, leading to layoffs and a substantial loss in shareholder value.

Nearly $2 billion in paper wealth evaporated from the stock market.

When that went down, I was a green newbie on the Sydney Futures Exchange trading floor.

Over the next few decades, I ‘levelled up’ in trading nous.

I traded for High-Net-Worth individuals, including one of the top 10 wealthiest families in Australia. I was also a broker for many boutique hedge funds, using my proprietary trading techniques to help them find winning trades and get through tricky times with minimal losses.

I’m no infallible genius.

Post-Lehman Brothers collapse, I was sitting pretty on a potential half-million windfall from put options (bets that the market would crash).

Instead, while I slept, the market jumped 14% on 20 September 2008.

And instead of making five hundred grand…I saw my $100k win going up in smoke in about four hours.

That was a turning point.

I’ve never approached shakeout periods in the same way again.

Since then, I’ve established a trading advisory that’s done well to keep my members out of trouble over the last five years.

It was established in December 2018.

Since then, members had the chance to make an average annualised gain of 25%.

Assuming members followed all of my instructions, risked 2% of their investment pool on each trade, and re-invested all gains…that’s 25%...25%...on average…every year.

In what has been the choppiest…most unpredictable…and, frankly, BIZARRE market periods in my 30-plus years as a trader.

As the adage goes, past performance is not a guide to the future. But if you have any kind of experience in trading stocks, that 25% annualised gain should speak loudly to you.

As you will see from my member testimonials a little further down, my approach can radically alter your investment outcomes…and reduce your stress levels.

Of course, we have had losses over the last five years, too.

My point is, this is not my first rodeo.

I’ve learned how to chart a course through strange periods like this.   

And at How to Prepare for the Next Shakeout on 26 August, I’m going to cover:

  • An autopsy of the last shakeout. My charts informed me that it was coming one week in advance. If you read the tea leaves correctly, you CAN get a decent hint these things are brewing…before the crowd makes for the exits…
  • Three hints another 10–20% panic for the exits could be imminent. You’ll want to be laser-focussed on these things in the next few weeks...and have the right moves pre-prepared in advance.
  • MY SHAKEOUT SHOPPING LIST. I’ll name a great play I entered on the day everyone was freaking out. Now it’s way up. And will then explain the specific areas I’ll be looking to buy in the next shakeout scenario.
  • A ‘Shakeout Predictor’ secret weapon. An indicator that’s really effective in predicting these moves days before they happen. (Which is what I just did back on 27 July).

And;

  • Three ASX shakeout plays you’ll want to put on your radar now...and SPECIFIC PRICE ZONES where it’ll be time to pounce.

That’s the broad plan of what I’ll be sharing. I have a few other surprises in store…

But you need to be there on the night to get the analysis and suggested moves. Stick it in your diary. Confirm your email address below and hit the button:

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Three ‘Shopping List’ stocks to buy in The Next Shakeout. Streaming online until Friday, 30 August. Enter your email below and hit the green button to get immediate access.

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FRIDAY, 30 AUGUST 2024

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personal information in accordance with our Privacy Policy.

Fat Tail Investment Research

‘Murray gives advice like his

own money’s on the line.

I get the feeling that it is.’

‘After a couple of decades looking for guidance that would grow my wealth instead of the brokers FINALLY, someone who talks my language, and is cautious. Murray gives advice as if it were his own money on the line. I get the feeling that it is. I get his liking for graphic presentation and trust his reading of the signals. Finally, someone who is not losing me money.’

SS

‘Murray is a true gem! His market insights and charting skills are second to none. I have been with Retirement Trader from day one and can sleep soundly, knowing that my investments are in good hands.’

Mark Lucas

‘I think Murray is fantastic and we are lucky to have his expertise. ‘He has very good technical knowledge. I also think he is a very decent highly principled person. Trust is very important.’

Michael

‘Firstly and honestly, I feel I can trust him. He talks sense in a way I can understand what he’s trying to get across and doesn't talk down to you. I suppose that means he explains things clearly — so often when listening to people explain the markets it’s overly complicated and boring to the point I switch off.’

Steve W

‘He minimises risk by having a trading plan which uses stop losses and takes profits at regular planned intervals. Leading to the creation of a free call position which means we can let winners run their course. This is a low risk and highly profitable trading approach, and Murray is simply the best.’

Wayne

‘Murray has a great talent to both risk manage and stock pick very proficiently through his own unique approach. If you follow Murray's guidance with discipline, you can be very successful.’

Matt R

‘Murray's approach to investing, educational videos and communications exactly matches my needs, as I approach retirement.’

Dave

‘Your understanding of the market, and needs of retirees, has given me the courage and confidence to have a go, and has opened a new world of fun and challenge.’

Dee

‘I really enjoy Murray’s advice and whilst I don’t invest in all his recommendations I have made significant amounts on the ones I have. I really appreciate his trading style and especially like his ability to sit on the sidelines when needed. This is actually what gives me the most confidence in him.’

A Dykes

‘Retirement Trader is the only financial advisory newsletter I read. I have tried many others but always seem to go backwards financially.’

EB

‘I have great confidence in Murray's ability to identify the right time to buy and sell stocks. His mix of technical and fundamental analysis inspires confidence. His use of video updates to explain and educate is first class.’

Mark R

‘Really like his style and knowledge. Seems to be straight down the line and no BS. Feel very confident in acting on his suggestions.’

AA

‘I can only say his methods blow my mind. I have strong regard for his entry triggers and exit risk reduction strategy. Some current examples DYL up 58.5%, PRU up 136%, RRL 27.6%, DEG 4.9% (early days). BHP, WDS and TLS harvested a couple of times over the years, all profitable. From the early days PDN painful for years but now up 2,539% and EVN up 51.8%.’

David D

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Three ‘Shopping List’ stocks to buy in The Next Shakeout. Streaming online until Friday, 30 August. Enter your email below and hit the green button to get immediate access.

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This may seem a bit doom-and-gloomy, but as you’ll see on the night, it's not.

We’re now closer to the start of another big bull market.

Another capitulation event…and recovery…will be when I will put my reticence to trade aggressively to bed…put a stake in the ground…say that is it for the bear…and start aggressively adding positions. We’ll talk about those in the session.

In the meantime, though, you need to manage what happens first.

If you’re interested in sane forecasting in what is feeling like an increasingly insane time in the markets…

If you want to know how to keep your nerve if there’s one more big down move this year…and turn other people’s silly moves into your wins…

And if you’d like a couple of specific moves to consider when the panic and price levels reach a critical point…

Then do make sure you’re with us on Monday, 26 August.

Sometimes, the smartest move is not to move at all.

And sometimes the smartest move in such times is the bravest one…to attack.

Knowing the difference is vital to your long-term wealth.

That’s what we’ll be covering at How to Prepare for the Next Shakeout.

Whack your details in the box below and I’ll see you there.

Sincerely,

Murray Dawes

Murray Dawes,
Presenter, How to Prepare for the Next Shakeout

STREAMING LIVE NOW

Three ‘Shopping List’ stocks to buy in The Next Shakeout. Streaming online until Friday, 30 August. Enter your email below and hit the green button to get immediate access.

STREAMING LIVE NOW

ONLY ONLINE UNTIL
FRIDAY, 30 AUGUST 2024

Please read our Terms & Conditions. We will collect and handle your
personal information in accordance with our Privacy Policy.

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