Fat Tail Investment Research

There are three moments in every trade…

Most investors obsess over two of them:
when to get in,
and when to get out.

But one man…who’s given his followers the opportunity to average
19% per year since 2018 with his winners averaging 3x his losses

has built his entire system around the third — and most lucrative — moment the vast majority never reach:

Unlocking the
Free Ride

The moment your risk is gone,

and your upside blows wide open

Veteran trader Murray Dawes…whose edge was forged on the Sydney Futures Exchange floor, long before algorithms
existed…is showing exactly how it works on Thursday 11th
June 2026 at 3PM AEST
, LIVE…step-by-step,
using real trades from his verified track record.

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By the end of the session, you’ll understand why some investors look back on volatile markets with satisfaction…while most look back with regret.

And you’ll know precisely what it takes to be in the first group.

Lynas Rare Earths had been in a downtrend for years…

Just take a look at the chart…it looked terrible:

...

The headlines weren’t much better, either.

But Murray Dawes wasn’t watching the headlines.

He was watching the selling pressure.

Specifically, the moment it started drying up.

A pattern he’s spent decades studying began to appear on the chart.

Two waves down. Then something he calls a buy pivot.

To most people, it meant nothing.

But to Murray, it was the signal that the downtrend was running out of steam, and would more than likely turn up.

So, he bought.

Not recklessly. Not all-in.

With structure.

A stop-loss just below the previous low. And with an initial price target set.

...

Then…he waited.

A few weeks later, the stock moved higher.

Once the first price target was hit, Murray took partial profits…and moved his stop-loss up to his initial breakeven point.

THAT’s the moment…the point in the trade where everything changed.

Now, the remaining position could no longer lose money.

His original risk was gone.

He was on the FREE RIDE.

And that’s when the real move began.

...

China. The US. Rare earths.

Suddenly the story was everywhere.

Lynas exploded higher. 100%...then 150%.

Here’s the thing…most only notice stocks like Lynas AFTER the headlines hit.

But Murray was already locked in.

More importantly...he could STAY in.

With no panic, second-guessing, or fear of giving back gains.

Because the potential downside had already been dealt with.

That’s The Free Ride in action. A real trade. Murray’s system. Exactly as it happened. It’s not a theory. It’s not a neat-sounding slogan.

It is a specific moment in a trade where your risk is reduced dramatically…but the upside is still alive.

Murray Dawes has spent more than 30 years building his entire trading approach around reaching that moment.

And at 3PM on Thursday, 11 June, he’s going to show you exactly how he aims to find it.

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Now of course, not every trade becomes a FREE RIDE.

And it’s important to be honest about that.

Murray loses trades. He’ll tell you that himself, and he’ll tell you the exact percentage before you even ask!

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, and no system, however disciplined, however refined…wins every time.

Markets are uncertain. That’s not a disclaimer. That’s the reality every serious investor has to accept before they place a single trade.

But here’s what most investors get wrong about losing trades.

They think of them as failures.

But Murray thinks of them as hooks.

Small, controlled lines cast into the market, each one risking no more than 2% of the total portfolio.

If the setup doesn’t work, and the initial stop loss is hit, the hook is cut quickly and cheaply. No drama. No disaster.

Just a small, predetermined cost of doing business.

Because the whole point of keeping losses small isn’t just capital preservation…

It’s staying in the game long enough to be there when a trade like Lynas appears.

The investors who blow up don’t do it on one catastrophic call.

They do it because they let a bad trade become a big loss…because they had no rule telling them when to walk away.

Murray has that rule. It’s the 2% limit. For him, it’s not optional. That’s what he recommends:

Successful traders don’t avoid risk.

They recognise it, accept it, and USE it.

The difference between an investor who compounds and one who stagnates is rarely the trades they pick.

It’s how they handle the ones that don’t work.

That’s also what Murray will show you on Thursday, 11 June.

Not just how to find the free ride…but how to build the discipline that makes it possible.

Now, with all that said, let me explain exactly who this live masterclass event is for.

This LIVE session
is for you if…

You’ve built a meaningful pool of capital…and you want it working harder than whatever strategy you are currently using is making it work.

You’re not a day trader. You’re not looking to watch screens. But you want a clear system, applied with discipline, that targets serious returns without demanding your constant attention.

You understand that losing trades are part of the game — THIS IS IMPORTANT! But you suspect the ratio of your wins to losses could be significantly better than it currently is.

And importantly, this session is not for speculators who are only chasing fast money.

It’s for investors who want to compound capital seriously… and are ready to follow a system to do it.

What Murray will show

you on 11 June…

The exact system behind seven years of verified returns…every rule, every decision point, shown step by step on real charts.

Four real trades walked through in full… entry, management, and the moment the free ride begins. ResMed. Pilbara. Copper. Lynas.

Why Murray targets just 15 trades a year… and why that restraint is the edge, not a limitation.

The honest numbers… including 2022 and 2023, two down years that Murray will name and explain rather than gloss over.

Seven years of published,

verified returns

Since launching this strategy in late 2018, Murray’s trade recommendations have given his followers the chance to average 19% per year.  

How We Track Fat Tail’s

Most Continuously

Successful Trading Record

Hi, Murray Dawes here. Let me show you how we track and verify the results of this dialled-in trading methodology.

Imagine you had $100,000 to invest in the trades I picked when I started publishing my trade recommendations in December 2018.

When you buy a stock, my money management rule is that you risk a maximum of 2% of your capital in any one trade.

So, at the start, with a hypothetical $100,000, you risk $2,000 on the first trade.

If I gave you a stop loss on the trade that was 25% below the entry price, that means you buy $8,000 worth of stock when you enter.

That’s because a 25% fall in the price would lead to a $2,000 loss. Which is exactly 2% of the capital you are trading with.

From inception in December 2018 through to 31 May 2026…provided you followed ALL instructions exactly and re-invested all gains…the hypothetical portfolio jumped from $100,000 to $458,155.

A 358% return. During that same period, the S&P/ASX 200 is up just 58%.

So, our portfolio of recommended trades…based on the methodology I will walk you through on 11 June…has outperformed the index by over six times (6.17 times to be precise).

This is what I mean about smart profit-taking.  

And trying to turn trades into ‘free rides’ by taking money off the table at key points.

I hope you join us at 3PM on Thursday 11 June!

Check out the box to the right to hear from Murray directly about how he specifically tracks, monitors and calculates the overall performance of his trade reccos…

You’ll see they have beaten the ASX benchmark over six times.

His average winning trade returns 60%.

His average losing trade costs 21%.

That three-to-one ratio, by the way…across a full market cycle…is what asymmetric investing actually looks like in practice.

And like I just said, in 2022 and 2023, the trades slowed.

Murray will tell you exactly why…and why slowing down in the wrong conditions is itself part of the system.

Then look at 2024 and 2025. The trend returned. So did the returns!

This is not a system that claims to be right all the time.

It’s a system built to ensure that when it’s wrong, the damage is small…and when it’s right, you’re still holding!

One follower of Murray’s trades, JT, managed his own SMSF for 12 years.

In his words, he made every investing mistake in the book.

He was at the point of handing everything to a professional and giving up on managing it himself.

Then he found Murray’s system.

In the first 18 months, his portfolio returned annualised gains of approximately 40%.

He said:

I can now see a self-funded retirement in my future. And Murray’s Retirement Trader is a massive reason for that.

— JT, Retirement Trader member

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So, what exactly is the
FREE RIDE?

Murray splits every position into three parts….

The first two are about locking in profit and eliminating risk AS FAST AS POSSIBLE, once his initial price targets are hit.

By the time both are sold, he’s either already made money on the trade, or covered his initial stake…and his remaining third position has a stop-loss at breakeven or better.

That final third is the free ride.

The position that cannot cost him anything…and can still run to double, triple, or beyond.

You’ve seen Lynas Rare Earths…it ran over 100% after Murray’s first profit target was hit.

Pilbara Minerals was another one…it went from $1.70 to $6.74.

Those gains came from holding with conviction when there was no risk left to hold against.

Most investors never get there, not because the market doesn’t give them the opportunity, but because they don’t have a system that EVER gets them to the ‘free ride’.

Well, on Thursday 11 June, Murray will show you how to do it.

Reserve your place.

The Free Ride LIVE
event is FREE

Once again, the session runs Thursday 11 June at 3PM AEST.

It’s free to attend.

There’s no obligation to do anything beyond showing up.

Murray will be doing this work regardless.

The only question is whether you’re in the room when he shows you how it’s done.

See you on the 11th

RESERVE YOUR SPOT HERE:
Type your email address
in the box and hit the button to secure your place

Search

3:00pm AEST, Thursday, 11 June – LIVE

Please read our Terms & Conditions.

We will collect and handle your personal
information in accordance with our Privacy Policy.